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Not Updated since 3/9/2010 4/9/2010  
 
SFQ.DE
SAF HOLLAND ORD (XETRA)
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a SELL-IF today. The previous BUY recommendation was issued on 08.30.2010 (4) days ago, when the price was 5.7090. Since then SFQ.DE has fallen -1.21% .

A bearish pattern has developed and a SELL-IF alert is issued today. You will see if we erred slightly in our previous BUY signal. A confirmation in the next session will show that we have underestimated the bearish power of the market. You may realize a small loss but prevent a bigger one if you are following our guidelines. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bearish pattern. We ask your effort and time. A good starting point is to keep an eye on after-hours trading and futures trading to get preliminary hints about market direction. Related news, events, economic data, and the outlook of the world markets must be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of bearish confirmation. You have to follow the session closely to see if these cases will hold or not.

The market opens with a downward gap, signaling a bearish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay below the benchmark, sell your shares. Any black candlestick with a downward gap is a valid bearish confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or above the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay below the benchmark, sell your shares. Any black candlestick closing below the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start going over the benchmark avoid selling.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big upward gap suggesting a very bullish day, and the day ends with a black candlestick, but still closing above the previous day’s close. Such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and the closing price of the black candlestick is the benchmark.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a white candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the SELL-IF alert remains valid, however, without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long white candlestick. Any white candlestick following a SELL-IF alert makes the signal void and invalid.

The market looks strong on the short side as evidenced by recent price activity. If the SELL-IF is confirmed, new short selling may be considered.

 
SELL-IF
5.6400
-0.0600 -1.05%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
Black Candlestick
Bearish Engulfing
Candlestick Pattern

Today a Black Candlestick was formed. This represents normal selling pressure.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bearish Engulfing Pattern . This is a bearish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is not very high and it requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Stock Quote
Day's Close 5.6400
Previous Close 5.7000
Previous Open 5.6980
Change -0.0600
% Change -1.05%
Volume 614
 
Stock Activity
Day's Open 5.7000
Day's High 5.7550
Day's Low 5.6400
20-Day Close M.A. 5.7999
50-Day Close M.A. 5.6270
65-Day Volume M.A. 425
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal IDR 100
Became
30.08.10 5.709    Buy 3,010
20.08.10 5.821    Sell 3,010
18.08.10 6.000    Buy 3,103
06.08.10 6.270    Sell 3,103
04.08.10 6.098    Buy 3,018
28.07.10 6.050    Sell 3,018
13.07.10 5.220    Buy 2,604
09.07.10 5.170    Sell 2,604
30.06.10 5.180    Buy 2,609
24.06.10 5.530    Sell 2,609
21.06.10 5.340    Buy 2,519
16.06.10 5.311    Sell 2,519
11.06.10 4.950    Buy 2,348
20.05.10 5.000    Sell 2,348
06.05.10 5.140    Buy 2,414
04.05.10 5.200    Sell 2,414
06.04.10 2.450    Buy 1,137
19.03.10 2.261    Sell 1,137
15.03.10 2.150    Buy 1,081
10.03.10 2.150    Sell 1,081
23.02.10 2.150    Buy 1,081
04.02.10 2.310    Sell 1,081
29.01.10 2.280    Buy 1,067
26.01.10 2.300    Sell 1,067
08.01.10 2.480    Buy 1,151
17.12.09 2.920    Sell 1,151
09.12.09 2.750    Buy 1,084
26.11.09 3.000    Sell 1,084
16.11.09 2.510    Buy 907
02.11.09 2.790    Sell 907
30.09.09 2.110    Buy 686
16.09.09 2.340    Sell 686
11.09.09 1.590    Buy 466
09.09.09 1.400    Sell 466
04.09.09 1.340    Buy 446
01.09.09 1.430    Sell 446
26.08.09 1.070    Buy 334
19.08.09 1.220    Sell 334
09.07.09 2.090    Buy 572
01.07.09 2.420    Sell 572
19.06.09 1.930    Buy 456
16.06.09 2.140    Sell 456
09.06.09 2.180    Buy 464
04.06.09 2.100    Sell 464
27.05.09 1.610    Buy 356
22.05.09 1.760    Sell 356
14.05.09 1.550    Buy 314
05.05.09 2.100    Sell 314
24.03.09 1.020    Buy 152
10.03.09 0.9800    Sell 152
06.02.09 0.8200    Buy 127
16.12.08 1.350    Sell 127
11.12.08 1.410    Buy 133
01.12.08 1.350    Sell 133
27.11.08 1.310    Buy 129
11.11.08 1.650    Sell 129
05.11.08 1.250    Buy 98
18.09.08 7.400    Sell 98
11.09.08 7.460    Buy 99
27.08.08 8.850    Sell 99
22.08.08 8.920    Buy 99
14.08.08 8.800    Sell 99
12.08.08 8.850    Buy 100
 
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